Yes position
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $238
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Polymarket Trader
LuisSmith5060
0x7ae92c04089257de6beaeed31ea45418d2a82923
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $310.5
- Realized PnL
- $553.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169
- Potential profit
- $169
- User PnL
- -$47.32
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $121.91
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $45.09
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $63.46
No position
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $142
- User PnL
- -$77.82
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $100.55
- Potential payout
- $134
- Potential profit
- $33.45
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $72.99
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $102
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Ramp IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $102
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $94
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $65.99
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $17.02
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $25.31
Yes position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $77
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $72
- User PnL
- -$64.8
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $66
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Yes position
Will Coinbase US perps offer more than 10x leverage?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
HumidiFi FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $22.05
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.97
- Potential profit
- $34.97
- User PnL
- -$23.78
No position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$16.5
No position
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$24.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.67
No position
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.75
No position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.11
No position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.68
Yes position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $27.06
No position
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.45
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dell" or "Stellantis" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
No position
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
No position
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.86
Yes position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Yes position
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.38
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
No position
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
No position
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 20%?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44
Yes position
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No 99.7% 5 shares
- 1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?No 94% 23 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 41% 36 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 74% 41 shares
- Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No 68% 11 shares
- U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 29 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 53% 42 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 29% 333 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 28% 502 shares
- Remote IPO before 2027?No 88% 15 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No 88% 180 shares
- Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No 72% 11 shares