Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $172.53
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $116.46
Polymarket Trader
nofear763
0x7af9ea44e02130f69fa136f4ae7e6df5ad59d415
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $429.4
- Realized PnL
- $446.42
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $116.43
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $44.22
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $157
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
N
No position
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $30.43
- Potential payout
- $93.63
- Potential profit
- $63.2
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $67.01
- Potential payout
- $78.38
- Potential profit
- $11.37
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
90k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.78
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $82.14
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $49.41
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.86
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.28
No position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.68
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.37
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3% 1,815.15 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 4.7% 70.76 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.5% 126.97 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 26% 200 shares
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?No 62.3% 153.87 shares
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?No 65% 52.5 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33% 58.82 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34% 58.82 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.5% 157.13 shares
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?No 25% 50 shares
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?No 25% 100 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 5% 93 shares