Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $256.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $43.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Polymarket Trader
newworldlife
0x7afc9330fc7cde7fa22b282b8b6e42f7c17dfb7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $256.5
- Realized PnL
- $47.53
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.43x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 72% 4 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 36% 200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 4.8% 24.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 52% 330 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 3.6% 200 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No 8% 100 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 61% 320 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No 40% 199.99 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 80% 310 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 260 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 260 shares
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 49% 250 shares