Polymarket Trader

0x7afd...a1cc

0x7afd0629defef0aa85f66a31a240da5ed7c2a1cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $19.72
Realized PnL: $24.59
Win rate: 40.9%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.9
Potential profit: $218.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $61.27
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$6.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.57
Potential profit: $59.57
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $38.89
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.96
Potential profit: $21.96
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.48
Potential profit: $13.48
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.89
Potential profit: $8.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.35
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.05
Potential profit: $7.05
User PnL: -$1

K27 position

Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42
Potential profit: $3.42
User PnL: -$1.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.8%
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 26% 7.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.7% 62.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 49.26 shares
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 6% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20.3% 49.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 66.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 38.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 66.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 63.8% 59.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 52% 51.31 shares