Polymarket Trader

1472

0x7b1a9778f4467442a960ddbb2b38c2d2af46639d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $388.25
Realized PnL: $921.24
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $883.17
Potential profit: $883.17
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $357.34
Potential payout: $752.29
Potential profit: $394.95
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $54.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.19
Potential profit: $422.19
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.75
Potential profit: $336.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.59
Potential profit: $331.59
User PnL: -$133.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.52
Potential profit: $322.52
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.36
Potential profit: $200.36
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.83
Potential profit: $158.83
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.04
Potential profit: $149.04
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $116.14
Potential profit: $111.79
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$20.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.61
Potential profit: $77.61
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.9
Potential profit: $71.9
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.61
Potential profit: $62.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $26.56
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $35.94
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.53
Potential profit: $60.53
User PnL: -$9.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.2
Potential profit: $51.2
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $49.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.98
Potential profit: $36.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.7
Potential profit: $28.7
User PnL: -$9.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.14

Yes position

Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.96

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

JD Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 50% 62.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 38.7% 567.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 6% 116.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 28% 125 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 45% 184.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 20% 105 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 22% 127.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 45% 114.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 883.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 25.2% 28.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 50% 250.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 49% 153.06 shares