No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.81K
- Potential profit
- $84.81K
- User PnL
- -$4.08K
Polymarket Trader
alvarotd
0x7b205b70b9a5b3f0f9b0d0341834e9eb4b158eaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.7K
- Realized PnL
- $11.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.14K
- Potential profit
- $53.14K
- User PnL
- -$104.27
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $730.16
- Potential payout
- $50.36K
- Potential profit
- $49.63K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$75.53
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $505.76
- Potential payout
- $6.53K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$48.94
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.48K
- Potential profit
- $4.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $613.85
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $10.2
Tommy Paul position
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Sara Sorribes Tormo position
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Maria Timofeeva
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$606.39
Sofia Costoulas position
Foggia: Tatiana Pieri vs Sofia Costoulas
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$99.74
Zizou Bergs position
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $845.25
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $764.75
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$152.95
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$813.86
Rafael Jodar position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$714.37
Yes position
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$424.2
Pedro Martinez position
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$630
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.81
- Potential profit
- $999.81
- User PnL
- -$99.98
No position
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $905.38
- Potential profit
- $905.38
- User PnL
- -$479.85
Under position
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 0.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $836.94
- Potential profit
- $836.94
- User PnL
- -$100.43
Yes position
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.95
- Potential profit
- $699.95
- User PnL
- -$58.1
Dino Prizmic position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.64
- Potential profit
- $600.64
- User PnL
- -$377.89
Barcelona position
Barcelona vs. CB Murcia
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$339.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.99
Juan Manuel Cerundolo position
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $892.32
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.32
Jaime Faria position
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harris
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.02
Alejandro Moro Canas position
Heilbronn: Max Schoenhaus vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.68
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.78
Alexander Blockx position
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.9
Real Madrid position
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Real Madrid
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.58
Yes position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.09
Elmer Moeller position
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Casper Ruud position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
Andrea Pellegrino position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.23
Vit Kopriva position
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.08
Daniel Merida Aguilar position
Madrid Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.2
Mary Stoiana position
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.52
Girona FC position
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.3
Alexis Galarneau position
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexis Galarneau
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329
Rafael Jodar position
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.15
Hamad Medjedovic position
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borges
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.61
Lisa Pigato position
Foggia: Darya Astakhova vs Lisa Pigato
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $266.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliJack Pinnington Jones 50% 32.6 shares
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain 76% 252.18 shares
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver 52% 300 shares
- Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia ParksEmiliana Arango 65% 367.55 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?No 80% 257.86 shares
- Tomáš Chorý: 1+ shotsYes 76% 100 shares
- Pavel Šulc: 2+ shotsYes 60% 100 shares
- Pavel Šulc: 2+ shotsYes 59% 25 shares
- Pavel Šulc: 2+ shotsYes 57% 33.97 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 2,005.4 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 1,137 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 50,000 shares