Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.96
- Potential profit
- $199.96
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Polymarket Trader
yanghanshen
0x7b2af84a64f820496242bf9fe4cf17a9d570e9b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $235.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $115.81
- Potential payout
- $120.01
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $73
- Potential payout
- $85.88
- Potential profit
- $12.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $46.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.6
- Potential profit
- $18.6
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.52
- Potential profit
- $8.52
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $210?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No 92% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 96.6% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 96.5% 20.01 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?Yes 99.8% 33.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?No 99.9% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp 64.7% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp 44% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown 99% 199.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp 58.5% 300 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown 25.1% 70 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp 50% 237.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 98.4% 162.1 shares