Polymarket Trader

XCrafting

0x7b3196c4bcb7d229851cb7cd6cd132b37d01c62f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.62
Realized PnL: $102.6
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $53.62
Potential payout: $893.67
Potential profit: $840.05
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.56
Potential profit: $155.56
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $109.09
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$15

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.83
Potential profit: $63.83
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Trump say "Communist" this week?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.23
Potential profit: $21.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.31
Potential profit: $19.31
User PnL: -$13.52

No position

Will Trump say "Apple" this week?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$10

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon" this week?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.91

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.99x
User PnL: $20.87

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

No position

Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 6% 893.67 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5% 1,159.37 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.2% 1,159.38 shares
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

No 86% 11.63 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

No 70% 19.31 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 63.7% 47.1 shares
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 47% 63.83 shares
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

Yes 9% 155.56 shares
Israel military action against Iran in July?

Yes 18% 83.33 shares
Will Trump say "Apple" this week?

No 74% 13.51 shares
Will Trump say "Elon" this week?

Yes 79% 6.33 shares
Will Trump say "Communist" this week?

No 47.1% 21.23 shares