Y
Yes position
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
Polymarket Trader
0x7B47e1E99279f2e5e86CF5744DA0A84Ac43ce988-1780076386783
0x7b47e1e99279f2e5e86cf5744da0a84ac43ce988
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.58
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Y
Yes position
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 63% 1.59 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?Yes 87% 1.15 shares