Polymarket Trader

jorgdane

0x7b4bb9a216e5f1cbeefd17b3d09ac0168608a158

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.63
Realized PnL: $226.4
Win rate: 94.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump shake hands with Javier Milei at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$11.33

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.23
Potential profit: $305.23
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.19
Potential profit: $202.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.47
Potential profit: $193.47
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.06
Potential profit: $103.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $103
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $41.33
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $53.68
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $31.83

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.94
Potential profit: $85.94
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.44
Potential profit: $83.44
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $415-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.3
Potential profit: $53.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $51.25
Potential profit: $50.94
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.11

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.02

Yes position

Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

Yes position

Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will AZ vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Silver position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$12.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 6.4% 31.25 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 1.8% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 1% 103 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 53.3 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Yes 5.9% 84.75 shares
Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?

Yes 30% 16.65 shares
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-02-21?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will PSV win on 2026-02-21?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares
Will PSV vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?

Yes 30.1% 16.64 shares
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-15?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares