No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $69.55
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $60.45
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Polymarket Trader
678HJ9S
0x7b4e2643774245fbbc5c036757aabcf3ac7ed4ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $218.98
- Realized PnL
- $22.97
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $68.76
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $59.59
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $15.41
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $21.09
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- $13.21
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.8% 22 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 87.9% 78 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 59% 44 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 59% 86 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.5% 75 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.7% 20 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 88.7% 28 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 82% 92 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 149 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.1% 20 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 90.9% 28 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 149 shares