No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $491.88
- Potential payout
- $509.46
- Potential profit
- $17.58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.68
Polymarket Trader
dragonoracle
0x7b4f462b71a9b38e3595e7e5aa4f53e50aeeae74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $491.88
- Realized PnL
- $64.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No 94.6% 509.46 shares
- Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?No 97.8% 52.12 shares
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 22.66 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 10.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 99.4% 18.44 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 430.08 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 99.7% 425.54 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 97.9% 245.45 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 98.9% 243.13 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 96.2% 180.09 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.4% 174.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 98.8% 163.47 shares