Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $646.42
- Potential payout
- $803
- Potential profit
- $156.59
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $20.07
Polymarket Trader
generalmilky
0x7b53ee63a3737142c9e6388949a15ca39e48ab9d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.39K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.12
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $256.42
- Potential payout
- $311
- Potential profit
- $54.58
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5.66
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $13.02
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $175.66
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $42.77
- Potential payout
- $188
- Potential profit
- $145.23
- Multiplier
- 4.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $44.1
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $135.9
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $121.04
- Potential payout
- $178
- Potential profit
- $56.96
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $17.34
No position
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $33.88
- Potential payout
- $101.12
- Potential profit
- $67.24
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $30.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $69.5
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $89.66
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $48.01
- Potential payout
- $84.99
- Potential profit
- $36.98
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $76.86
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $26.91
- Potential payout
- $78.02
- Potential profit
- $51.11
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $38.22
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $39.78
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $40.4
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $40.9
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $23.52
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $8.48
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 18 shares
- Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.9% 38 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82% 228 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 17.5% 49 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 35% 16 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 36% 4 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 37% 4 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.8% 3 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.8% 10 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.8% 25 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.8% 18 shares