No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $170.99
- Potential payout
- $656.4
- Potential profit
- $485.41
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$153.08
Polymarket Trader
0x7b56986b5aD655E5Be7dbF47195dc26B88e65549-1763280611917
0x7b56986b5ad655e5be7dbf47195dc26b88e65549
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $762.18
- Realized PnL
- $294.58
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $375.85
- Potential payout
- $466.9
- Potential profit
- $91.04
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $215.34
- Potential payout
- $237.94
- Potential profit
- $22.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Will Partido Popular win 34-36 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $44.12
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Partido Popular win 31-33 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.84
- Potential profit
- $25.84
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.42
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.33
No position
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.42
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.24
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 237.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 34% 44.12 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 49.4% 656.4 shares
- Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?No 93.3% 214.42 shares
- Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No 94% 118.67 shares
- X banned in any European country by December 31?No 76.9% 466.9 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No 92% 412.52 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 93.5% 512.84 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 61% 192.34 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No 88% 133.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 84% 474.1 shares