Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $981.75
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $668.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Polymarket Trader
senzer
@senzer
0x7b5887dcffa32af1ec155a8835c48b4e948aeb2b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.39K
- Realized PnL
- $2.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $318.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $381.5
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $66.5
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $133.25
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $516.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$35.75
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $542.6
- Potential payout
- $627.28
- Potential profit
- $84.68
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $78.59
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $58.79
- Potential payout
- $576.92
- Potential profit
- $518.13
- Multiplier
- 9.81x
- User PnL
- $28.79
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $450.22
- Potential payout
- $453.16
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- User PnL
- $96.22
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $299.84
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $297.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- User PnL
- $33.15
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $235.02
- Potential payout
- $250.02
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $74.25
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $60.75
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.49
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.02
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.16
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.34
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.69
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.36
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.49
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.03
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $85
No position
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.39
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.61
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $52.37
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $46.1
Yes position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $45.17
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 94.6% 300 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 95% 400 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 277.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 5.2% 576.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.8% 300 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.6% 310.56 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?Yes 90% 2.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 21% 350 shares
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 80% 110 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 50% 500 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 37.2% 270.38 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 75% 4.4 shares