Polymarket Trader

VLONA

0x7b60a227a667708daccda46276c5a1a1e96df259

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.17K
Realized PnL: $54.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $10.17K
Potential payout: $26.7K
Potential profit: $16.53K
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: -$1.28K

No position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69K
Potential profit: $7.69K
User PnL: -$999.99

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$46.23

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$744

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $3.53
User PnL: -$1.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54K

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.8

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.23

No position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $930.03

No position

Iran military response by Tuesday?

Ends Aug 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.4

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.97

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652.51

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $561.45

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 45.3% 14.1 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 45.8% 493 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.5% 2,899.99 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 44.2% 524 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 18.9% 51 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 91% 545.59 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 90% 1,100 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 66% 2,192.35 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 75% 145.61 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 75% 100 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 77% 352.53 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 87.7% 102.15 shares