Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $153.27
- Potential payout
- $153.5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $2.19
Polymarket Trader
0x7b64e09f384b07534dfF21859A0d27b823aE8440-1774472209075
0x7b64e09f384b07534dff21859a0d27b823ae8440
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $508.34
- Realized PnL
- $2.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $111.71
- Potential profit
- $110.76
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$19.57
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $8.97
- Potential payout
- $72.63
- Potential profit
- $63.66
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $62.83
- Potential profit
- $52.78
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$20.08
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $61.54
- Potential profit
- $58.37
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $40.44
- Potential payout
- $53.56
- Potential profit
- $13.12
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $50.12
- Potential payout
- $50.29
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Current value
- $23.96
- Potential payout
- $40.11
- Potential profit
- $16.14
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $33.23
- Potential payout
- $33.92
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $32.23
- Potential payout
- $32.28
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $31.51
- Potential profit
- $29.46
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $29.99
- Potential payout
- $30.48
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $28.63
- Potential profit
- $21.33
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $24.05
- Potential profit
- $14.19
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $22.54
- Potential profit
- $17.84
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $21.36
- Potential profit
- $21.35
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $18.96
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $16.89
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $16.4
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $15.86
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $15.09
- Potential payout
- $15.24
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $8.31
- Potential payout
- $14.2
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $11.62
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $11.96
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.63
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.47
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.71
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.35
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.96
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $18.61
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.67
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.07
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.99
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.3% 28.91 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 62.9% 6.02 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 94% 30.48 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.6% 36.17 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.6% 33.47 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 0.5% 30 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes 23% 3.62 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 59% 5.76 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.7% 11.27 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.7% 11.27 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 23% 7 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 79.8% 11.2 shares