Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $949.75
- Potential payout
- $1.9M
- Potential profit
- $1.9M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$378.95K
Polymarket Trader
Polyfirefly
0x7b676d5a6379855773d405fcf19b9aa577651b07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.15K
- Realized PnL
- $12M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $822.77
- Potential payout
- $1.65M
- Potential profit
- $1.64M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$176.09K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $705.94
- Potential payout
- $470.63K
- Potential profit
- $469.92K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$52.26K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $673.54
- Potential payout
- $674.55
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54M
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.44M
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $652.52K
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $613.17K
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $574.96K
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $570.2K
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $558.87K
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $488.77K
Yes position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $427.71K
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $384.81K
Yes position
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.86K
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $283.96K
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $257.92K
Yes position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $223.9K
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $222.99K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.48K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $191.16K
Yes position
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $187.28K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $163.58K
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.53K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.74K
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $146.66K
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $131.74K
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.52K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,000,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 125,603.16 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 159,146.02 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.4% 571,636.33 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 50,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.5% 50,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 70,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.5% 70,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 360,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.5% 360,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 329.49 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 100,000 shares