Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $949.91
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $79.08
Polymarket Trader
Lane09092
0x7b69d1ea2cd947f6677575cb75f448873072e3e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.27K
- Realized PnL
- $166.06
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$21.35
Yes position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $962.82
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $101.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $37.24
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.16
- Potential profit
- $224.16
- User PnL
- -$38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.59
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.46
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.02
Yes position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
Yes position
Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.84
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.65
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
TikTok sale announced by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 70?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$900
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 54.5% 2,261.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.7% 1,269.39 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 1,063.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 68.5% 1,269.39 shares
- US military action against Iran by Sunday?No 77.6% 1,159.66 shares
- US military action against Iran before July?No 40.5% 419.75 shares
- US military action against Iran before July?Yes 56.9% 250 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes 1.5% 1,323.52 shares
- Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No 69% 42 shares
- Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025?Yes 68.9% 217.84 shares
- Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?Yes 17% 224.16 shares
- TikTok sale announced by June 19?Yes 1.2% 950.62 shares