cloudysun1

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$34.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $815.81
Potential payout: $816.22
Potential profit: $0.41
User PnL: $15.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.44
Potential profit: $500.44
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $346.49
Potential payout: $347.01
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $26.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $258.7
Potential payout: $259.48
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $48.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $229.9
Potential payout: $230.01
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $49.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $206.91
Potential payout: $207.02
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $31.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.83
Potential profit: $122.83
User PnL: -$100.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $113.31
Potential profit: $113.25
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$81.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.83
Potential profit: $105.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$31.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.41
Potential profit: $44.41
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $39.42
Potential payout: $40.43
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $25.71
Potential payout: $26.54
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.82
Potential profit: $22.82
User PnL: -$21.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $3.26
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $2.47
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $1.18
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 16?