Polymarket Trader

samcdh46

@cdhsam46

0x7b842c1f82f598a654865d7a223cf2b52209a13e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.19K
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.1K
Potential profit: $30.1K
User PnL: -$234.99

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $10.93
User PnL: $20.45

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $375.69
Potential payout: $377.57
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $258.58
Potential payout: $260.01
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $227.4
Potential profit: $226.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $211.16
Potential payout: $212
Potential profit: $0.85
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $209.84
Potential payout: $210.16
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $7.84

No position

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $201.91
Potential payout: $203.03
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: $0.91

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Chicago Blackhawks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.1

DFX Peek position

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $100.7
Potential payout: $128.28
Potential profit: $27.58
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$26.3

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $107.13
Potential payout: $107.78
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $105.12
Potential payout: $106.83
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $100.22
Potential payout: $104.95
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.72

Yes position

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $103.95
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $103.07
Potential payout: $103.33
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $100.72
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.66
Potential payout: $101.71
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $101.23
Potential payout: $101.64
Potential profit: $0.41
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.46
Potential payout: $101.51
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.46

Washington Nationals position

Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Help Us LFO position

Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $94.09
Potential payout: $99.1
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$4.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Kraken position

Maple Leafs vs. Kraken

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.04

Lightning position

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.14

New Zealand position

T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.09

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Jets

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.43

76ers position

76ers vs. Suns

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.89

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.61

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.15

India position

T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.24

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.6

Zimbabwe position

T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.44

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.39

West Indies position

T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.69

Bucks position

Pacers vs. Bucks

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.15

Perth Scorchers position

Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Final)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1

Ireland position

T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Oman (Game 1)

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.26

Italy position

T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Vanuatu

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.67

Sabres position

Sharks vs. Sabres

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.12

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Warriors

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.06

Panthers position

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.31

Kings position

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.58

Golden Knights position

Kings vs. Golden Knights

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.34

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.41

Rangers position

Capitals vs. Rangers

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Yes 98.3% 803.87 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Yes 98.3% 1,018.52 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 15.6% 6.41 shares
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 10.2% 105.87 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 1.1% 742.45 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 98.9% 310.41 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 78.8% 1.27 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 97.5% 103.58 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

No 97.9% 103.17 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 97% 104.12 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 96.9% 104.25 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 92% 11.49 shares