No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $112.37
- Potential payout
- $123.48
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Polymarket Trader
0xfabada00
0x7b8bcfe78177bafdfb28080199e2ca8de0f41ae8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $395.87
- Realized PnL
- $25.36
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $110.24
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$84
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $34.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $39.11
- Potential payout
- $39.56
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.11
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $35.97
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$25.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 50.6% 39.56 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Yes 11% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No 97.1% 1.03 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?No 92% 30 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?No 99.8% 80 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 95.1% 10.51 shares
- Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 20 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No 85% 10 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?No 99.6% 23.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 86% 10 shares