Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $309.83
- Potential payout
- $41.31K
- Potential profit
- $41K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$137.32
Polymarket Trader
SpiRaX
@_SpiRaX_
0x7b900d4557c9e5400aa7b9832fefb66afccf1d17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $703.39
- Realized PnL
- $3.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $131.25
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$62.67
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $20.15
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.43
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $10.76
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$91.17
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $893.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $670
- Potential profit
- $665.65
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $643.83
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $508.3
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $505.67
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $496.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $496.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58.2
- Potential payout
- $401.35
- Potential profit
- $343.15
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$48.84
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $397.77
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $337.79
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $328.79
- Potential profit
- $326.65
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $293.58
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $295.88
- Potential profit
- $295.88
- User PnL
- -$124.46
Yes position
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $289.97
- Potential profit
- $287.79
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $236.52
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.8
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.9%
- Current value
- $74.92
- Potential payout
- $159.73
- Potential profit
- $84.82
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $13.58
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $136.43
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $137.83
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.68
Yes position
Will France win?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.94
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.2
Yes position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.8
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.81
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.01
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $123.5
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.38
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $110.23
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $104.68
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.59
Yes position
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.57
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.69
Yes position
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.48
Yes position
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.44
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.15
Yes position
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.99
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $60.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.9% 409.99 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.5% 500 shares
- Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.1% 5,320 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 63.1% 100 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 48% 364.33 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 13% 709.42 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.2% 2,140 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 58% 100 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.7% 2,500 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 85% 99.99 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes 99.8% 86.49 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.7% 8,426.96 shares