No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x7b901f347ab23d6DC1B32aBf97ea4f49cF86fCfa-1774807829059
0x7b901f347ab23d6dc1b32abf97ea4f49cf86fcfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.83
- Realized PnL
- $27.78
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.74
- Potential profit
- $95.74
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $10.97
- Potential payout
- $30.76
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $5.61
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $23.3
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $21.97
- Potential profit
- $20.49
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $20.98
- Potential profit
- $18.37
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.3
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $13.3
- Potential profit
- $12.51
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $11.5
- Potential profit
- $9.57
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.6% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 45.98 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 94% 95.74 shares
- Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 94% 42.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp 75% 6.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp 76% 6.58 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 15% 30 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No 63% 85.87 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 97.5% 10.41 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 65.6% 45.76 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 73% 40.14 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 15% 10 shares