Polymarket Trader

hazardlights

0x7b90de6575b7ae18ce72c536854bfc29dbb0c1af

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $723.56
Realized PnL: $413.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $396.01
Potential payout: $401.23
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377.56
Potential profit: $377.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.5
Potential profit: $302.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $216.53
Potential payout: $218.61
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: $16.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.33
Potential profit: $193.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.24
Potential profit: $128.24
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.13
Potential profit: $109.13
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.16
Potential profit: $101.16
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $57.2
Potential payout: $81.13
Potential profit: $23.93
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.83
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $52.99
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.89

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.78

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.01

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.63

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.06

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.87

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.87

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Up 0.3% 377.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Down 98.9% 5.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 92% 1.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 80% 1.25 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 98% 1.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 97% 1.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 76% 1.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 76% 1.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Down 98% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Down 95% 1.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Up 97% 5.15 shares