No position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $5.22K
- User PnL
- -$33.84
Polymarket Trader
jeshopenhauerv2
0x7b995e413ebec857753cd464721f260be1ff296b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.42
- Realized PnL
- $992.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$12.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $775.06
- Potential profit
- $775.06
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.16
- Potential profit
- $637.16
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.16
- Potential profit
- $631.16
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $630.01
- Potential profit
- $630.01
- User PnL
- -$45.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.04
- Potential profit
- $600.04
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $565.76
- Potential profit
- $565.76
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.33
- Potential profit
- $551.33
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503.63
- Potential profit
- $503.63
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $448.85
- Potential profit
- $440.77
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$18.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.11
- Potential profit
- $404.11
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.15
- Potential profit
- $309.15
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.71
- Potential profit
- $289.71
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.38
- Potential profit
- $244.38
- User PnL
- -$12.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.32
- Potential profit
- $239.32
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $230.59
- Potential profit
- $228.75
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.23
- Potential profit
- $220.23
- User PnL
- -$14.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.03
- Potential profit
- $184.03
- User PnL
- -$3.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.93
- Potential profit
- $107.93
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.41
- Potential profit
- $79.41
- User PnL
- -$30.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.3
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.57
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $41.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.45
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 275.45 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.9% 173.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 3?Yes 0.7% 49.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 3?Yes 1.3% 376.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?No 39% 4.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 3?Yes 0.8% 85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?No 40% 8.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?No 40% 14.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 3?Yes 12% 132.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?No 40% 22.66 shares