Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $113.64
- Potential payout
- $9.09K
- Potential profit
- $8.98K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $13.65
Polymarket Trader
ThoughGate
0x7ba74d0ccc0501caa64d3b628a6e3e3149c5b461
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $713.39
- Realized PnL
- $336.28
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $46.08
- Potential payout
- $8.38K
- Potential profit
- $8.33K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$70.41
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $40.01
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$66.02
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $82.6
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$28.39
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $98.4
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$7.57
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $151.66
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $40.65
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $152.22
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $935.1
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$143.1
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $720
- Potential profit
- $720
- User PnL
- -$97.1
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $630
- User PnL
- -$101.91
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $549.08
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $17.85
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $282.15
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $7.05
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$43.6
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.7
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.89
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 51% 96.51 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 29% 87.32 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 55% 316.41 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No 93% 110 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?Yes 18.9% 115 shares
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 13.5% 720 shares
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes 20% 775 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes 78.1% 13.54 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 9,090.91 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 6,878.39 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 7.2% 1,388.89 shares
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2% 5,000 shares