No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $30.17K
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.86K
Polymarket Trader
tajir
0x7bb380292fd13b5ca4851dbcd73234d30d1b2682
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.22K
- Realized PnL
- $31.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $17.23K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$950.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.43K
- Potential profit
- $12.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $267.31
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $6.86K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$597.57
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$350
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$814.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$229.81
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$88.9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$36.86
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $12.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $187.8
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$59.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.82
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $800.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.74
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Saudi PM events on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.67
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.39
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $569.69
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.29
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.12
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.01
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.25
Yes position
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.55
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.21
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 4,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.9% 6,625 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.4% 7,056.38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.8% 318.89 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.4% 1,250 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 20.2% 1,600 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 9.1% 2,500 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11% 1,988 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 13% 8,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 32.4% 10,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 19.3% 2,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 20% 2,000 shares