Polymarket Trader

pestanimal

0x7bbf09fc724e3ca90332e17d4f352b3cbc0f7ce5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.55
Realized PnL: $20.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$62.32

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$62.32

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$62.32

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$60.17

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$53.72

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$65.16

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.57

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.42

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.42

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.42

Yes position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$78.14

Yes position

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$78.14

Yes position

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $894.15
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $820
User PnL: -$31.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $820
User PnL: -$31.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $820
User PnL: -$31.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $820
User PnL: -$31.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $820
User PnL: -$31.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 66.7%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $952.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $843.7

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.9%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $787.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $773.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $720.98

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $661.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $582.26

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: $572.91

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $509.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $453.54

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.3%
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: $444.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $414.5

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $412.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $389.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 5% 50 shares
Will Trey Yesavage win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Yes 1.4% 10 shares
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 6.4% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 0.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 17?

Yes 0.3% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 17?

Yes 0.1% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 17?

Yes 0.1% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 39% 8 shares
Will Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Yes 0.3% 31 shares
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 6.4% 10 shares
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 0.5% 20 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 0.7% 20 shares