Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Polymarket Trader
donovan389lara
0x7bd678c2b46a19ee1d876132bd33bb2e26658a46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.48
- Realized PnL
- $144.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.95
No position
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.6% 93 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.6% 43.9 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 84% 55 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87.9% 99 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 14% 7.08 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.5% 18 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.5% 84 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.9% 101 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.3% 100 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96.1% 103 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87.6% 113 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87.6% 113 shares