Polymarket Trader

davidceto

@davidceto1

0x7bdd1388fa93df20ddcfdb7535d195596d6d5fb3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $473.42
Realized PnL: $945.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $16.11
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.35
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.95

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.26
Potential profit: $286.26
User PnL: -$30.29

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.81
Potential profit: $169.81
User PnL: -$20.83

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $8.03
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $141.98
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $27.56
Potential payout: $112.51
Potential profit: $84.95
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$16.13

Yes position

Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $94.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.45
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.25
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.35
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $98
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.05
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.35
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26.8

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.55
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $98
User PnL: -$15.48

Under position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$47.7

No position

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $71.31
Potential payout: $71.89
Potential profit: $0.58
User PnL: $10.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

Yes position

Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.15

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.21

No position

Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $52.72

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.46

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.17

No position

Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $45.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.87

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.74

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.93

No position

Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.37

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.19

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.62

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.02

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.19

Under position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 44% 33 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Under 55% 17 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Under 42% 25 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Under 55% 10 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score

No 61% 15 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 44% 10 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 20 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 100 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 100 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 100 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 20 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 63% 7 shares