Polymarket Trader

Fran.sf

0x7bec34429c3ae978d8e09707e383cfde61703fe8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $259.47
Realized PnL: $281.7
Win rate: 52.4%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $30.89
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $6.89

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $196.46
Potential payout: $202.53
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $43.11

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $32.13
Potential payout: $60.05
Potential profit: $27.92
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.73
Potential profit: $13.73
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $132.42

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $83.52

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.89

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.03

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Ghana to score first vs. Panama?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.17

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$13.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?

Yes 2.3% 1,047.11 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Yes 79% 202.53 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Yes 77.4% 108.93 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Yes 74.6% 117.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 72% 40 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 49% 40.82 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?

Yes 6% 114.28 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 58% 5.17 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Yes 70.3% 128.06 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?

Yes 7% 114.29 shares
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Yes 66.6% 44.41 shares