Polymarket Trader

Carmanhani

0x7bef3b7dd6db63132d18a4a9f06e6bc8af9cbe32

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $18.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $6.57K
User PnL: -$5.52K

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $812.98
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $704.64

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.82
Potential profit: $201.82
User PnL: -$111

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.13
Potential profit: $198.13
User PnL: -$100

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$100

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.1
Potential profit: $187.1
User PnL: -$62.11

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$50

Aurora position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.51
Potential profit: $175.51
User PnL: -$85

OG position

Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.47
Potential profit: $171.47
User PnL: -$70

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$50

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$80

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.23
Potential profit: $144.23
User PnL: -$75

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$40

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.45
Potential profit: $122.45
User PnL: -$60

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$60

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$40

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.24
Potential profit: $113.24
User PnL: -$50

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $109.09
User PnL: -$60

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$50

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $94.34
User PnL: -$50

paiN Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.7
Potential profit: $93.7
User PnL: -$25

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $990

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.64

MOUZ position

Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.86

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.83

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.91

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.07

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.82

paiN Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.67

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.86

GamerLegion position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.76

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.14

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.42

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92% 14,040.65 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 79.6% 5,655.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 99.8% 5,000 shares
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 30% 24.42 shares
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 30% 2,143.52 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 80% 5,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 71.2% 14,040.65 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 19% 6,397.58 shares
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

OG 42.4% 70.7 shares
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

OG 40.8% 171.47 shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Team Spirit 52% 192.31 shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Team Spirit 55% 201.82 shares