Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.22K
Polymarket Trader
jakej
0x7bef91d1b32b9ccbb23aa011a8522a90874d7fe5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $264.86
- Realized PnL
- $321.14
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $871.71
- Potential profit
- $871.71
- User PnL
- -$797.92
N
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $193.99
- Potential payout
- $222.98
- Potential profit
- $28.99
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $19.24
Y
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $41.84
- Potential payout
- $134.98
- Potential profit
- $93.14
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $18
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $10.12
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $81.88
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.31
No position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.88
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Celtics position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Y
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.05
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 82.4% 50 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 82% 29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 20 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 31.9% 75.82 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 32.6% 45 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes 0.2% 84.99 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes 7.8% 59.99 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Yes 0.3% 145 shares
- Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?No 95% 45 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Yes 12.6% 100 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Yes 12% 45 shares
- Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 95.5% 718 shares