Polymarket Trader

0x7Bf4993cec4e8aD3384C6F2B26b0b715DCa800aa-1778059093215

0x7bf4993cec4e8ad3384c6f2b26b0b715dca800aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.12
Realized PnL: $66.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $61.06
Potential profit: $56.3
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $53.76
Potential profit: $51.59
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.25
Potential profit: $14.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $13.65
Potential profit: $7.71
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $11.66
Potential profit: $7.11
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.31
Potential profit: $9.31
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.83
Potential profit: $8.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.39
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.54
Potential profit: $6.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $5.85
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.69
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?

Yes 42.9% 11.66 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?

Yes 3.2% 18.51 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 28% 7.14 shares
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 8.2% 61.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 36.6% 13.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 23?

Yes 15.3% 6.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares