No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $29.07K
- Potential payout
- $31.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $131.48
Polymarket Trader
KingZeManel
0x7bff96579b20fe3530e140d6a3c223c9f2127cd6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.46K
- Realized PnL
- $19.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $15.89K
- Potential payout
- $15.98K
- Potential profit
- $87.88
- User PnL
- $246.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $4.84K
- User PnL
- -$4.83K
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $457.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $29.99
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $16.92
- User PnL
- $54.71
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $998.52
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $220.38
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$791.99
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $868.04
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $31.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $748.35
- Potential payout
- $748.72
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $725.46
- Potential payout
- $725.82
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $578.09
- Potential payout
- $636.31
- Potential profit
- $58.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.55
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $103.36
- Potential payout
- $626.44
- Potential profit
- $523.08
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$247.44
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.28
- Potential profit
- $576.28
- User PnL
- -$575.7
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $486.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $159.74
- Potential payout
- $449.96
- Potential profit
- $290.22
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$204.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $430.24
- Potential payout
- $430.46
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $429.7
- Potential payout
- $429.91
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $410.26
- Potential payout
- $410.47
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $409.55
- Potential payout
- $409.75
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $263.28
- Potential payout
- $405.05
- Potential profit
- $141.77
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$62.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.65
Yes position
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.02
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.5
No position
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or below on August 20?
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.26
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.79
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.69
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.18
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.25
No position
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.61
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.48
No position
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.82
No position
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.79
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?Yes 99.9% 352.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 16?No 99.9% 120.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 16?Yes 99.9% 238.23 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 367.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 16?No 99.9% 54.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 16?No 99.9% 205.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 16?Yes 99.9% 190 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16?No 99.9% 484.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?Yes 99.9% 932.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 16?No 99.9% 1,526.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16?Yes 99.9% 419.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 16?Yes 99.9% 274.9 shares