Polymarket Trader

deson

0x7c03417c54303f5a7f360da924ad1601d715d7c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.99
Realized PnL: $126
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.11
Potential profit: $51.11
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.01
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$0.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$5.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.47
Potential profit: $6.47
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55
Potential profit: $3.55
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $2.47
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Yes 99% 2.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Yes 41% 2.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Yes 36% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 4% 5.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 6% 11.71 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Up 0.2% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Up 0.4% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Up 8% 12.5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Up 3% 8.33 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Up 12% 8.33 shares