Polymarket Trader

BitcoinKaiser

0x7c076ec9557f17b8b8bb699695f7f53dc3f4e43a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $222.24
Realized PnL: $294.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.31
Potential profit: $996.31
User PnL: -$27.08

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $498.26
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $178.49
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $121.49
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $26.76

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $31.54
Potential payout: $252.31
Potential profit: $220.78
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$29.66

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $145.45
Potential profit: $142.55
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$12.09

No position

Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.95
Potential profit: $122.95
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $116.24
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $96.86
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.99
Potential profit: $93.99
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $69.92
Potential profit: $69.44
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$17.51

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $68.81
Potential profit: $67.78
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$13.97

Yes position

Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.44
Potential profit: $68.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $56.6
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.17
Potential profit: $54.17
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.34
Potential profit: $50.34
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.17
Potential profit: $43.17
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $27.81
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $95.72

Yes position

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.96

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.92

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.48

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $6.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $6.09

No position

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 15% 26.2 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 15.6% 60 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 51% 4.49 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 19% 5.26 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Yes 1.8% 97.56 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Yes 0.6% 111.11 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?

Yes 0.4% 83.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 65% 35.38 shares
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Yes 19% 128.5 shares
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Yes 28% 128.5 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.7% 117.65 shares