No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $712.77
- Potential payout
- $896.56
- Potential profit
- $183.8
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $212.77
Polymarket Trader
0x7C07c5C0a89351f039841e1CEf1A24DD9F41Af36-1764707046888
0x7c07c5c0a89351f039841e1cef1a24dd9f41af36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $712.77
- Realized PnL
- $557.09
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.45
- Potential profit
- $363.45
- User PnL
- -$276.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.65
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.98
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.59
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$50.14
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$50.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 55.8% 896.56 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 79.1% 568.72 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 87.9% 568.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.9% 614.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 88.7% 614.17 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 78.5% 699.47 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 85.8% 699.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 67% 597.01 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 92.6% 454.54 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No 76% 363.45 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 22% 454.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 97.7% 200 shares