Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Insaneviper
0x7c0968174286dfee0fbf4bfa0d0b395e5f53eea9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.18
- Realized PnL
- $3.29K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- User PnL
- -$168.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$481.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$52.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.24
- Potential profit
- $245.24
- User PnL
- -$14.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.74
- Potential profit
- $199.74
- User PnL
- -$27.06
Yes position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $137.25
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$14.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $148.28
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Current value
- $36.07
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $113.93
- Multiplier
- 4.16x
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $145.28
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$10.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $139.09
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.79
- Potential profit
- $139.79
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$12.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.71
- Potential profit
- $105.71
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 4?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.43
- Potential profit
- $87.43
- User PnL
- -$53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.36
- Potential profit
- $62.36
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.22
- Potential profit
- $40.22
- User PnL
- -$16.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.03
- Potential profit
- $29.03
- User PnL
- -$10.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 50 million views on day 2?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 46 million views on day 2?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 50 million views on day 2?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.9
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 4% 58.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 8.6% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 10% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 18% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 35% 29.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 10.5% 110 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 3.9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 1% 226.43 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 4.6% 30.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 1.6% 634.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown 25% 20 shares