Polymarket Trader

Userp6a

0x7c0ad6cbcb17e18e54e08273e56ae301db67643a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.62
Realized PnL: $2.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$15.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$51.3

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.97
Potential profit: $599.97
User PnL: -$6.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $554.95
Potential profit: $554.95
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$15.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.94
Potential profit: $499.94
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $399.98
User PnL: -$4.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.96
Potential profit: $399.96
User PnL: -$23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.22
Potential profit: $365.22
User PnL: -$19.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.71
Potential profit: $356.71
User PnL: -$28.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345
Potential profit: $345
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will TurkXBT win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$64

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $292.38
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$3.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$23.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.89
Potential profit: $299.89
User PnL: -$19.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.33
Potential profit: $295.33
User PnL: -$153.57

Yes position

Will the US strike Cuba nex

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.49
Potential profit: $289.49
User PnL: -$5.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.19

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.48

No position

Felix Nmecha: 2+ shots

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.94

Ankalaev position

Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

Alexander Volkov position

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.6

Mariners position

Rangers vs. Mariners

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.91

Ak Bars Kazan position

KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.7

Phillies position

Phillies vs. White Sox

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Guardians position

Twins vs. Guardians

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.33

Rafael Fiziev position

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.25

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.75

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.27

Under position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.14

Guardians position

Rockies vs. Guardians

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.45

Astros position

Nationals vs. Astros

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 41% 235.88 shares
Felix Nmecha: 2+ shots

No 41.6% 220 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 43% 50 shares
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

Rafael Fiziev 51% 125 shares
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Michel Pereira 9% 10 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

No 17% 20 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

No 61% 20 shares
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)

Abus Magomedov 99% 99.54 shares
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)

Abus Magomedov 48% 50.43 shares
O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over 86% 13.97 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Over 99.9% 135 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Over 56% 135 shares