No position
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.9
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Polymarket Trader
Elementarius
0x7c1120880fec59054ca8e8f781625e4dcc9499a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.8
- Realized PnL
- -$8.18
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.3
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.80x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
OpenAI position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 5% 150 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes 11% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 9% 12.08 shares
- Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 9.6% 150 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Yes 4% 150 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes 11% 250 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 20.3% 100 shares
- Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?Yes 28% 50 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 27% 50 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 31% 100 shares
- Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 18% 50 shares