No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Polymarket Trader
Politiker
0x7c1e66d631c28377db99f4461ac757620cf8d371
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.84K
- Realized PnL
- $676.18
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $876.32
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $702.63
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$23.68
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$634.4
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $684.27
- Potential payout
- $764.55
- Potential profit
- $80.28
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $193.95
- Potential payout
- $226.84
- Potential profit
- $32.89
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $20.73
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.2%
- Current value
- $88.94
- Potential payout
- $130.51
- Potential profit
- $41.57
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.91
- Potential profit
- $38.91
- User PnL
- -$30.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.37
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.76
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.69
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.76
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 69% 130.51 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 1,578.95 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No 55% 8 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No 56.4% 407.45 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No 60% 666.77 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 75% 1,712.29 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 1.85 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 77.7% 995.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 62% 127.11 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 78% 38.91 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 41% 72.72 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 43% 72.72 shares