Polymarket Trader

AlexArbitrage98

0x7c22c21e04c40ea9f00ec6303194eb8a2b184d8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $141.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$10

No position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.89
Potential profit: $10.89
User PnL: -$10

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US-EU trade agreement by July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.51

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.43

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

No position

Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

No position

Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

OpenAI browser in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

OpenAI browser by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 82% 6.54 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Yes 98.8% 5.42 shares
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?

No 91% 3.85 shares
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

No 91% 3.3 shares
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?

No 92% 3.26 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?

No 95% 3.16 shares
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

No 91% 4.4 shares
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

No 98.9% 11.36 shares
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?

No 96.8% 3.49 shares
Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?

No 90.6% 7.73 shares
XRP all time high by December 31?

No 96.3% 3.12 shares
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

No 97.5% 3.08 shares