Polymarket Trader

Fattytuna

@holygraileth

0x7c23cacebc8f417674bc795313d541f7c94d0266

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $10.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.46K
Potential profit: $48.46K
User PnL: -$217.35

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.75K
Potential profit: $17.75K
User PnL: -$268.95

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.16K
Potential profit: $12.16K
User PnL: -$46.48

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.78K

Yes position

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.92K
Potential profit: $9.92K
User PnL: -$1.43K

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52K
Potential profit: $6.52K
User PnL: -$47.11

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.9K
User PnL: -$563.75

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49K
Potential profit: $5.49K
User PnL: -$450.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $4.91K
User PnL: -$9.82

Yes position

Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.16K
User PnL: -$95.5

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.16K
User PnL: -$73.78

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.79K
Potential profit: $3.79K
User PnL: -$450.13

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$795.23

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$290.95

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $3.38K
User PnL: -$240.47

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.29K
User PnL: -$182.51

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$649.96

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$166.98

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$457.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$171.88

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$477.48

Yes position

Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$82.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.12

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $624.34

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.13

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.77

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.89

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.13

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $186.12

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.06

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.24

Yes position

Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Yes position

Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.04

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.71

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.11

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.36

Yes position

Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.6

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 26% 57.69 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 35% 142.86 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5

Over 5.6% 89.29 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5

Over 17% 58.82 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

Over 41% 73.17 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 24% 150 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 8% 200 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 11% 200 shares
Spread: Czechia (-3.5)

Czechia 3.5% 200 shares
Spread: Czechia (-2.5)

Czechia 11% 100 shares
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

Czechia 28% 100 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 98.04 shares