No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.51K
- Potential profit
- $18.51K
- User PnL
- -$12.81K
Polymarket Trader
mazw8
0x7c30ee60b7f53f80211ca65df99d48cce53b7673
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.17K
- Realized PnL
- $11.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $14.34K
- Potential payout
- $16.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.5K
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $670.57
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $8.38K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $616.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $253.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $2.8K
- Potential payout
- $5.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $356.46
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $545.03
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.7%
- Current value
- $3.12K
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $894.23
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $74.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $666.36
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$46.04
Yes position
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $16.86
- User PnL
- $410.8
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $218.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $133.28
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
No position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$889.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$869.14
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $975.51
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $79.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $11.49
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$688
Yes position
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$142
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.01
- Potential profit
- $750.01
- User PnL
- -$704.7
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $355.95
- Potential payout
- $647.18
- Potential profit
- $291.23
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$81.63
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $104.34
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $495.66
- Multiplier
- 5.75x
- User PnL
- -$30.57
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$172.33
Yes position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $502.32
- Potential profit
- $502.32
- User PnL
- -$181.93
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $452.52
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $130
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $370
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.05
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.65
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.11
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.49
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.45
No position
Will Google reach $355 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527.76
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.21
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.1
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.68
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.16
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.5
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $216 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.15
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.5
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.83
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 64% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 30.4% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 30.5% 95 shares
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Cabo Verde 99% 30 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 79% 50 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Cabo Verde 77% 80 shares
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Cabo Verde 79% 30 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Cabo Verde 61% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?No 51% 5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 93% 100 shares