No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$3.56K
Polymarket Trader
PhantomOpera
0x7c32b51526046cd18dfac5b51f51a77e84485a0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.03K
- Realized PnL
- $3.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $82.5
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $9.97
- User PnL
- $187.2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$850
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$750
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$20.33
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$12.14
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $399.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $24.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.31
- Potential profit
- $356.31
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$79.8
Yes position
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.63
- Potential profit
- $291.63
- User PnL
- -$20.31
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $163.86
- Potential payout
- $280.1
- Potential profit
- $116.24
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$49.55
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$10.07
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.91
- Potential profit
- $163.91
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.92
- Potential profit
- $49.92
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Jazz position
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.61
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.6
No position
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.93
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.14
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.03
No position
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.08
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.1
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.83
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.11
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.82
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Yes 19% 115.83 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 19% 500 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 6.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?No 93.6% 213.68 shares
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?No 94.2% 106.17 shares
- Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?No 81.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?Yes 7% 291.63 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?No 89.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 43.8% 100 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?No 82% 1,000 shares
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?No 91.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?No 77% 1,000 shares