Polymarket Trader

xiguaoo

0x7c36a819b6b530b5c8bd2874a6124d58cf76357f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.51
Realized PnL: $148.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.43
Potential profit: $171.43
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Mees Rottgering position

Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.55
Potential profit: $94.55
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.46
Potential profit: $60.46
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.5
Potential profit: $51.5
User PnL: -$11.07

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.38
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $43.99
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$7.01

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.9
Potential profit: $42.9
User PnL: -$7.73

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $34.29
User PnL: -$4.2

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.59
Potential profit: $29.59
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.28
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.96

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.83
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$1

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $24.17
Potential profit: $20.66
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $21.82
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Charles Jourdain position

UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.76

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

Liberty Flames position

Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.86

Wizards position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Trail Blazers position

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $3.44

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.54

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?

No 46% 1.4 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 20% 10 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 62% 10.72 shares
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes 41% 12 shares
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?

Yes 12.1% 3.23 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Yes 99.9% 5 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 35% 2.64 shares
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?

No 50% 2.02 shares