Polymarket Trader

0x7C3DAF29e02c1CE8A158D9BAbF6F883CD75B2d7D-1775155863501

0x7c3daf29e02c1ce8a158d9babf6f883cd75b2d7d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $391.16
Realized PnL: $4.66K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $6.76K
User PnL: -$363.06

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $4.34K
User PnL: -$210.7

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $102
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $278.11
Potential payout: $704.08
Potential profit: $425.97
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$66.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.28
Potential profit: $703.28
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.49
Potential profit: $586.49
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.86
Potential profit: $289.86
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.21
Potential profit: $288.21
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.56
Potential profit: $213.56
User PnL: -$30

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.1
Potential profit: $121.1
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.36
Potential profit: $111.36
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $59.88
Potential profit: $48.83
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $675.63

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.71

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136.88

Yes position

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.67

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.34

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.09

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.06

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.01

Yes position

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.06

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 59.88 shares
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Yes 1.8% 161.44 shares
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Yes 3.5% 216.89 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 1,200 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 56% 179.46 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 54% 179.46 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 116.27 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 704.08 shares
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 42.7% 703.28 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 69% 289.86 shares
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Yes 3.5% 288.21 shares
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 18.8% 586.49 shares