Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $394.52K
- Potential payout
- $395.11K
- Potential profit
- $592.67
- User PnL
- $4.64K
Polymarket Trader
Car
@CarOnPolymarket
0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
Verified Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $465.28K
- Realized PnL
- $526.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $159.42
- Potential payout
- $35.43K
- Potential profit
- $35.27K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$159.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $312.52
- Potential payout
- $29.76K
- Potential profit
- $29.45K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$14.88
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $603.08
- Potential payout
- $20.44K
- Potential profit
- $19.84K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $42.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $12.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$572.31
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.81K
- Potential payout
- $14.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.67K
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $10.31K
- Potential profit
- $10.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $565
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.44K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $565
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.43K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$235
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.86K
- Potential profit
- $9.86K
- User PnL
- -$118.32
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.09K
- Potential payout
- $9.62K
- Potential profit
- $529.19
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $316.44
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.58K
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $402.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $9.44K
- User PnL
- -$296.58
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $461.56
- Potential payout
- $8.96K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $203.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.66K
- Potential profit
- $8.66K
- User PnL
- -$650.49
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $8.43K
- Potential payout
- $8.48K
- Potential profit
- $50.9
- User PnL
- $651.76
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $8.35K
- Potential payout
- $8.48K
- Potential profit
- $131.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $122.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $7.98K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $187.19
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $152.74
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $57.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$578.62
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.54K
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$746.57
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.32K
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- User PnL
- $324.17
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.54K
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- $187.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.25K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.1K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.03K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.72K
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.19K
Kennesaw State Owls position
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.87K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.02K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.79K
Penn Quakers position
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.95K
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.46K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.65K
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.6K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47K
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $17.07K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.93K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.73K
LIU Sharks position
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.62K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67K
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.59K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 100,000 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 19.5% 525.62 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 51% 88.04 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 66% 151.52 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 9.5% 777 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.5% 100,000 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 94% 35 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 94.5% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 97.9% 3,362.33 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 83.1% 3,000 shares